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Best Bets for Thursday | College Basketball + NHL Picks and Predictions (1/30)
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Best Bets for Thursday | College Basketball + NHL Picks and Predictions (1/30)
Update: 2025-01-30
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A cool down day for host Matt Perrault who went 1-2 on his plays on Wednesday. Matt is back with 2 plays and more to come on the Thursday episode of the Daily Juice.
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Transcript
00:00:00
[MUSIC]
00:00:15
What's up, guys?
00:00:16
How are you?
00:00:17
Welcome into a Thursday morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast.
00:00:19
My name is Matt Peralt.
00:00:21
You guys can follow me across all of my socials at sports talk, Matt.
00:00:25
And we're back after kind of another bummer night.
00:00:28
So we're kind of bumbling and stumbling our way out of the month of January.
00:00:33
We're going to still wind up up.
00:00:34
I wanted to get to 10 units.
00:00:36
We're not going to get to 10 units.
00:00:38
We're giving a little back, including 1.2 we gave back last night.
00:00:43
Both college basketball bets go down.
00:00:46
We had been doing well in college basketball.
00:00:48
In fact, we were feeling like we could get back over 500 in college basketball.
00:00:54
But that's not going to be the case of losing a couple of games.
00:00:58
Last night we are 16, 18 now are 16 and 20 on the year so far.
00:01:05
For college basketball, it's, you know, it's still not horrible because we're still up over six units for the month, but we're giving a little back here.
00:01:14
We get the Celtics team total right.
00:01:16
That was the ad that we had at 16 and a half Boston score at 68 points against the Chicago Bulls, but West Virginia got housed at home by Houston and Wisconsin had a three at the buzzer to lose by five.
00:01:31
It missed until they lost by eight, fortunately.
00:01:34
So we lose both those college basketball bets and we wound up down 1.2 units a one and two day for us.
00:01:42
So in terms of how the week is going, it's really not been a great week for us so far.
00:01:48
We were up on Monday, down a little on Tuesday, down on Wednesday.
00:01:58
So so far what that's 1.2, it's 1.4.
00:02:02
So we're down 0.5 for half a unit, we're down to half a unit so far for the week.
00:02:07
So not horrible, but we got time to recover just not a great week so far, not a great stretch here for us in the month of January.
00:02:16
Okay.
00:02:17
A couple of things.
00:02:19
I will do NBA player props today.
00:02:21
I liked that Celtics bet.
00:02:23
It came in at 16 and a half.
00:02:24
We bet it.
00:02:25
So I didn't do player props.
00:02:27
I will do player props tonight on the NBA for the games in the association.
00:02:32
So you're going to go to the betting close app.
00:02:34
You're going to download it then you're going to search at sports talk mat and you're going to follow me on the app.
00:02:41
That will give you a notification as to when I post the player props at least to maybe three will see as to how we'll roll with this tonight.
00:02:48
But NBA player props for sure will hit you.
00:02:51
So I have an NBA player props coming later.
00:02:54
I have a college basketball bet and I have an NHL bet.
00:02:57
So we're going to cross off all three sports here on a Thursday more than three bets because we'll have two or three player props, but three sports NHL NBA and college basketball to be covered here tonight for us.
00:03:10
Let's start in the college basketball ranks with the game of the night.
00:03:15
Oregon is at UCLA.
00:03:17
Yes, this is a pack 12 game that used to be no longer now.
00:03:21
We're looking at big 10.
00:03:23
So here's Oregon who there's six and three on the road this year, a T S.
00:03:28
However, things are not going great for Dana Olman's club.
00:03:33
They're nine and 11 ATS overall.
00:03:37
They are two and seven ATS in the big 10.
00:03:40
They haven't covered in four straight games.
00:03:43
They are three and seven ATS over their last 10.
00:03:47
It's not been good.
00:03:49
They lost to Minnesota on the road as favorites in their last game, minus four.
00:03:56
They lose by eight.
00:03:57
They were laying 12 and a half to Washington.
00:03:59
They won by 11.
00:04:00
They went at home against Purdue.
00:04:02
They were favored by two and a half points and they lost by seven.
00:04:08
They were laying two and a half to Penn State on the road and they won by one didn't cover.
00:04:13
Last four games did not cover six of the last seven games not covered.
00:04:20
So far here for Oregon on the flip side UCLA hasn't been great, but UCLA when they played against Oregon in their first matchup, they were on the road as dogs and they won the game outright.
00:04:32
They're catching three and a half points and they won the game outright.
00:04:34
Now they shift back to home where they are four and a half point favorites.
00:04:38
Opened at four.
00:04:39
Now four and a half UCLA is 11 and 10 ATS.
00:04:43
They're not much better by the way in the big 10 or three and seven, but they are seven and four ATS at home.
00:04:48
And like I mentioned, they've already beaten Oregon one time this year.
00:04:51
They beat USC on the road in their last game.
00:04:54
They were one and a half point favorites.
00:04:56
They won by six.
00:04:57
They've won four games in a row.
00:04:59
They just have been covered two of them and that was following a four game losing streak in a five game and six game stretch for UCLA.
00:05:07
Mick Cronin's team has really pulled out of this nose dive, beating Iowa by 24, Wisconsin by two, Washington by five and USC by six.
00:05:18
I like UCLA here, even though Kempom has this as only a three point win, four straight wins for UCLA.
00:05:26
They're at home and Oregon has not been great this season and really things are not going right at all for the Oregon ducks.
00:05:33
They've lost to Illinois, UCLA, Purdue and Minnesota.
00:05:38
I think they lose again here, unfortunately to UCLA for them.
00:05:43
I'll lay the four and a half points with this because I think there's some real places where UCLA is going to take advantage defensively.
00:05:49
They're 21st in efficiency, Mick Cronin's team is going to be effective.
00:05:55
You can bet the under this game too, by the way, if you want to 30 second for efficiency for Oregon.
00:06:00
They're 80th ineffective field goal percentage 160th for UCLA defensively, but UCLA is a team that offensively, they've been better than in recent years.
00:06:11
They're not great.
00:06:12
Still offensively, but 55th in offensive efficiency, 83rd effective field goal percentage.
00:06:17
They are 83rd in two point shooting.
00:06:19
They're 146th in three point shooting.
00:06:22
Oregon defensively has been okay.
00:06:24
40th in efficiencies 70th in effective field goal percentage 63rd in three point defense in 102nd in two point defense.
00:06:33
I just think this is a tough matchup here for Oregon on the road at UCLA.
00:06:38
This is a 10 30 Eastern time start on Fox Sports 1.
00:06:42
I like Mick Cronin's team heck of a game to be had here.
00:06:46
And again, if you want to just bet the under, I don't hate it.
00:06:49
If you want to bet the under in this game, I to a little low to 140 and a half to a little low.
00:06:54
So there's a potential for this game to go over.
00:06:57
Instead, I'm just going to lay the four and a half points.
00:06:59
Some team UCLA, they take both games against Oregon this year.
00:07:03
UCLA minus four and a half for 1.1 units.
00:07:09
We go to hockey.
00:07:10
The Vegas goal of the night are at home against the Columbus blue jackets.
00:07:16
Columbus is the number one over team in hockey.
00:07:19
So far this year, they are 30 19 and one this year to the over, overall over their last 10 games.
00:07:29
However, though, it's been a little bit different.
00:07:31
They've actually are seven and three to the under over their last 10 games, but this is where it can be a little bit deceiving.
00:07:39
They're four and one to the under over their last five games are two and one to the under over the last three.
00:07:45
On the flip side, you look at the Vegas goal the nights and where they are over their last 10 games and Vegas has been scoring their five four and one to the over over their last 10 games over their last five.
00:07:58
They're three one in one in the last three for the Vegas goal nights with the over their two and one.
00:08:05
This total is six and a half or six.
00:08:07
If you get six and a half, I don't mind betting under six and a half, but you can find a six, which gives us a really good push potential.
00:08:15
We're looking at most likely number one goal tenders.
00:08:19
Columbus is a team that just gives up a lot of goals and Vegas in hell is probably a net for Vegas.
00:08:26
His games have gone seven five seven nine in his last four starts.
00:08:32
He's given up four goals in three of his last four starts.
00:08:37
He hasn't been great.
00:08:38
So on the flip side, Vegas is scoring a bunch of goals.
00:08:42
Vegas scored three against Dallas, four against Florida, three against Dallas, four against St.
00:08:49
Louis in their last four games.
00:08:51
So they're scoring.
00:08:53
We know the inhale hasn't been great.
00:08:55
He's been giving up goals.
00:08:57
We know Vegas tends to play at home.
00:08:59
They tend to play a little more to the over than what they normally do.
00:09:04
And so far this year to the over at home, Vegas is flat.
00:09:09
They're 14 and 13 to the under actually at home this year.
00:09:13
But generally speaking, they do play games that tend to lean towards the over, especially when it's six, I think you can play under six and a half.
00:09:23
If you like the under fine to six and a half, I'd rather take a shot on the over and take it maybe with an open net or maybe it's a four to final and we wind up getting ourselves a push.
00:09:35
Six is the number I like to bet on.
00:09:37
I like to bet over is on six.
00:09:38
I don't mind betting under six and a half, but when it gets to six, I'm going to take the shot and bet over just because of open nets and scoring opportunities.
00:09:47
So to me, I think the shot we take is on the over over six for Vegas here in their game at home against the Columbus Blue Jackets tonight.
00:09:57
So college basketball, we're going to jump, we're jumping here with UCLA, we'll lay the four and a half points at home up against Oregon, Vegas and Columbus over six to minus one 25 to get to the six to 1.25 units down on that.
00:10:13
And then we'll throw a couple NBA player props at you guys on the betting pros app.
00:10:17
By going and downloading betting pros.com or get the betting pros app and then go, well, you can go to betting pros.com slash sports talk, Matt, too.
00:10:24
That'll get there.
00:10:25
But just get the betting pros app and then search for me at sports talk, Matt, and you should be golden for the NBA player props.
00:10:31
You can ask me any questions that you need.
00:10:33
Obviously on our discord channel to get there, it's betting pros.com slash chat.
00:10:37
My name is Matt Pearl, it's following us all socials at sports talk, Matt, every single morning, wherever you guys get your podcasts,
00:10:53
it is the daily juice.
00:10:59